This shows some of the data from the most recent round of analyses that has gone into understanding the effect red meat can have on our health.
In terms of cardiovascular mortality, what they found was that for every 10.8 years, there may be 4-5 fewer deaths per 1000 people. So, while it is not a guarantee that 4 people will not die, but 4 fewer people have died.
The argument here concerns the certainty of the above statement. Basically, would it truly help to lower red meat intake by 3 servings per week?
There is an inherent risk in everything, like getting struck by lighting, but how does that risk relate to the level of certainty we can connect to it?
To put that in practice, let’s say that if you lowered your intake by 3 (from 4 to 1 or 7 to 4), there is a likelihood that 4 fewer deaths will occur out of one thousand people in a decade.
Given all the variables we mentioned before, though, researchers overall found that the certainty here was quite low. With so much ambiguity surrounding it, there isn’t enough data to make a confident statement.